Gabriel's Horn

A terribly biased view of sports through the Eyes of Texas.

Archive for the ‘Oklahoma’ Category

Want a Slice?

Posted by TxHny on November 2, 2007

I’ve recently made the argument to friends, colleagues and anyone else that will stand around while I yammer that Texas, Texas A&M and OU cannot all be good at the same time. And like most, I’m sure right now you are saying, “Txhny, but what about the game in ____, when ____ and ____ were both in the top 10 and….” Yeah, I know. I also hear your argument, “but Texas is soooo big. There are so many great players – isn’t there enough to go around?” No. There isn’t. There are only a few dynamite players per year — Vince Young, Adrian Peterson, Cedric Benson, Jamaal Charles, etc. etc.

My point is simple: Texas is awesome and everyone would like some of the sugary Texas pie. However, no matter how tasty and talented, there is only so much to go around. Let me explain.

texas_pie.jpg
Pie a la tacklin’ fuel.

I salute Texas High School football programs (prioritized right above TAKS scores), coaches, robustly funded athletic programs and all the teachers who fudge grades for the greater good of footballdom.

greatergood.jpg
The greater good.

Their work produces finely tuned athletes for both college and professional football, and now with an even butterier crust! And who vies for the largest slices? Texas, Texas A&M and OU. One major talent base, three programs seeking to be a power-house. Whoever gets the biggest slice wins.

“Txhny, you are seriously off your rocker. This is the dumbest thing I’ve ever heard. You can’t just pull whatever you want out of your cute white shiny ass and call it logic.”

And you’re right. Gentlemen, I give you numbers, statistics, fancy charts and several hours of my time cursing at Excel.

The method of my madness: Several weeks ago, billyzane of BON fame did an analysis of games 2001-2006 to determine which factors are the best predictors of success in college football games. This article and his other Football by the Numbers pieces are outstanding. You can read this particular one here. To make my point clear, I took the predictors of success identified by billyzane, and then did comparison charts with numbers from Texas, Texas A&M and OU over the span of 9 years. We’re in “year 10” and I’ll do another post or two with predictions and then a final sum up.

rivals-recruiting-rank.gif
(You’ll have to click to see it big, but you can get the gist. Red: OU, Orange: TX, Maroon: TAMU)

This particular factor was not listed by billyzane. And if you hate Rivals – please feel free to take it up with them. This is just what I used as a sort of overall indicator. As you can clearly see, Texas is opposite of OU and Texas A&M.

Next, let’s look at total wins per season. Okay, this is also not a billyzane predictor – but again – just another overall success indicator. What do we care about? Wins! Bowl Games! image002.gif
In particular, look at years 2000, 2003 and 2005. In 2000, OU won the national championship and in 2005, Vince Young won. After 2000, OU sort of evens out. Championships win recruits. Texas was also on the upswing. At this point we see Texas A&M make a pretty significant dip. After 2003, the OU dip in wins coincides with a slight upswing at Texas A&M. (And yes, I realize that this relationship is perhaps affected by the fact that they are all in the Big 12 South. I’m not saying this is perfect, I’m saying it is interesting.)

And on to predictors of success, as defined by billyzane. First up, Net Rush Offense. This chart is actually a bit surprising.image003.gif
It shouldn’t be a huge shock to you that large numbers of rush yards equals success. However, I find it really interesting that in this particular subject all three tend the same. And please note the Cedric Benson/Vince Young factor in 200-2005. Also note the steeeeep drop back to reality in 2006. (A little Texas bragging — in 2004 Ced had 1800 rushing yards by himself, almost as many as Texas A&M had as an entire team.)

Next, let’s look at total offensive yards. Again, shouldn’t be a shocker that this is a big indicator of success. Yards = TDs = wins. image004.gif
Again, look at the areas of huge upswing – OU in 1998, 2001-2003, Texas in 2003-2005. Those are areas of big success for those programs. And they coincide with a big drop for someone else.

First Downs per season is also another good indicator of success. Keep in mind on all of these charts, that the year after is likely quite influenced by the year before.image006.gif

This is a nice chart to illustrate my point.
image007.gif
I couldn’t find statistics for OU in this category – so we’ll this is simplified by comparing only Texas and texas A&M. One goes up, the other comes down.

image010.gif
And total pass offense. Not as in line as the rush offense, but expected since there was a disparity in total offence. However, notice the high peaks and the low peaks.

Anyway – perhaps this doesn’t solidly reinforce my point – but I think it is food for thought. I’m working on getting some other stats as far as number of Texas players per season and working some of that up.

Any approval or dissent regarding the above, discuss in the comments.

-txhny

Posted in Big 12, game observations, meat and taters, Oklahoma, random babble, Texas, Texas A&M, txhny | 3 Comments »

The Big XII Roundtable: Thick of the Season

Posted by TxHny on October 17, 2007

Hmm. The thick of the season feels pretty thin here in Austin. First we went 0-4 in conference (0-2 this year), and then a good trouncing of a weak Iowa State. Up next – we face a powerhouse Baylor team, QB concussion and all. Note my sarcasm.

This week’s roundtable hosted over at Midwest Coast Bias. Head over there to check out the rest of the Big XII blogger responses.

1. If you could steal another coach at any level (head, assistant, etc.) from another school, who would it be and why?

Major Applewhite, Offensive Coordinator. This selection needs no explanation. In order for you to understand how I feel about it, I offer the following other scenarios that would make me equally euphorically happy for comparison:

The Houston Texans vs. The Dallas Cowboys in Superbowl XLV in Arlington, Texas.

The Dallas Cowboys announce new QB: Vince Young

The latest nutritional research suggests that eating ice cream once a week, coupled with 6-10 beers in a single sitting leads to a significantly reduced risk of Alzheimer’s, heart disease and varicose veins. (My greatest fear. Old lady legs are scarier than clowns, Jerry Jones, or Bob Stoops naked.)

Aaron Watson leaves cute wife for female sports blogger. The new couple recently purchased box seats at Darrell K. Royal Stadium in close enough proximity to make fun of Matthew McConaughey.

The only difference: Major Applewhite as Longhorn OC is a real possibility.

2. What two teams will play for the Big XII Championship and why?

I’d really hate to see a Missouri – OU rematch, but that’s where I’d put my money. If it were not “the year of upsets,” I’d say Oklahoma has it pretty easy the rest of the season, particularly with the Aggies’ loss to Tech last weekend. I’m less sure about the north, but I’d give Kansas a shot as well. I think it is still much too early to tell.

3. What is the best bowl game your team has a realistic shot at and, if your team has a shot, who would you like to play in said bowl?

Both San Diego and San Antonio are lovely that time of year….

Let’s just say it’s been a character building year for spoiled Longhorn fans.

4. If given the opportunity, would you keep the Big XII status quo or kick out a team and go to a Big 10-style conference play?

I like playing Baylor – and while people make a case against them as far as contending with the “Big Boys” I think Baylor does a nice job of keeping us all honest. Hmm.. I recall a particular Aggie-Baylor game… but that isn’t what this is about is it?

If we give someone the boot, I’d like to add a team rather than go to the Big 10 style. Say TCU??

5. Rank the Big XII teams

1. Oklahoma
2. Missouri
3. Texas
4. Kansas
5. Texas Tech
6. Kansas State
7. Colorado
8. Oklahoma State
9. Texas A&M
10. Nebraska
11. Iowa State
12. Baylor

Posted in Big 12, Oklahoma, Roundtables, TCU, Texas A&M, txhny | Leave a Comment »

Dick Cheney Says…

Posted by RubyLynn on October 5, 2007

dick-cheney.jpg

“If Oklahoma beats Texas… the terrorists win.”

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Dick Cheney is a bad motha - shut yo mouth!, Oklahoma, themaskedwino | 2 Comments »

An Open Letter to Colt McCoy

Posted by dahorns on October 5, 2007

Dear Colt,

How ya been man?! Long time no see. It seems like only yesterday we were watching you break Nebraska’s heart in the snow and cold of Lincoln. On the plains of Lubbock, with air raid sirens blaring, you lead us through the constant bombing. With accurate passes and clutch runs you almost did the impossible… lived up to the expectations that Vince Young set for us.

Where ya been since then? What ya been doing? Everyone I talk to around here misses you. We were dismayed when you got injured last year against K-state. We’ve been holding our breath, waiting for you to come back. I heard you were back in town over the summer, and I swear I saw you a couple of times against TCU. At the K-State game I saw this guy scrambling around and throwing a touchdown with all types of pressure breathing down his neck. I swore it was you, but never saw you the rest of the game.

Wherever you are, I hope you’re doing better. When you do find your way back, just remember you were great last year… people don’t lose greatness, they just tend to convince themselves they never had in the first place. You did. You do.

-Dahobbs & All Longhorns

Posted in Big 12, dahorns, Oklahoma | Leave a Comment »

Meet the Opponent: Oklahoma

Posted by RubyLynn on October 5, 2007

Now, the real question is, why would you want to meet your opponent this week? Sooners are toothless, illiterate trailer trash who suck so hard that they’re keeping the entire state of Texas from floating into the Gulf of Mexico.(Edit:) not having any part of a little pre-game jest. If they’re fans are willing to castrate members of the Longhorn Nation, just imagine what their football team will do to us.

To be honest, I haven’t really been looking forward to this game at all this year, even before the losses to Kansas State and Colorado. The Longhorns still have problems with defense, and our offense is in BIG trouble after what we saw versus Kansas State. Oklahoma’s new quarterback may look like the missing link, but he’ll do horrible, horrible things to our defense. I’m generally an optimistic individual, but this year I’m just hoping that it’s not as bad as my first Cotton Bowl experience, when we were pummeled 65-13. Then again, they DID lose to Colorado, so there’s hope for us yet!

If we do pull off the win, My biggest question for the game this weekend, is how are the cameras are going to be able to handle it? Will there be another crying OU kid?? Maybe a little girl this time?

crying-sooner-kid-1.jpg
(Edit:) A Sweet little dickens, enjoying the football game.
Picture, ESPN

The original crying OU kid.

crying-ou-boy-screenshot.jpg
(Edit:) Exhausted OU child, with Longhorn ancestry, not crying about the loss to Colorado.
Picture, FSN

Crying OU kid, Version 2.0

So what do you say when faced with the burden of a crying OU kid in your midst? We at the Horn have some ideas:

  • It’s okay, at least you get to go home Oklahoma now. (sarcasm)
  • At least you won’t have to move, since Daddy won’t be able to afford that double-wide after losing all his money gambling on the Sooners.
  • Someday you’ll grow up to be a Sooner too, that is if you can marry your sister, lose your baby and adult teeth and manage to get at least C’s.
  • Don’t cry, just get drunk with Daddy when you get back to Norman. It keeps him happy.
  • I bet your folks won’t make you brush your teeth for a whole month (as opposed to a whole week).
  • You got on national television!
  • If you’re feeling down, see if Mom will take you to the Bob Stoops Visor Museum on the way home.
  • There’s always next year, kiddo.

Okay, okay… so those aren’t really comforting. But then what can you say to convince a mini varmint that their life doesn’t suck?

Hopefully our Horns pull out the win. I wouldn’t put money on it, but hopefully Mack and the boys can prove me wrong. Hook’em!

(Edit:) Clearly this is low-brow jest on the eve of the biggest game of our season. General Concession: We know all of our opponents are not the toothless varmints we make them out to be. In fact, the players and fans are supporters and representatives of fine universities across the nation – something we can relate to here at Texas.

Now, is that going to stop us on OU weekend from making fun of Sooners? No. It isn’t. Are we sorry your kid got picked on? I mean, maybe. Nobody — even the TV station — insisted this was some sort of documentary. It is football coverage. College. Football. Coverage.

If this really offended you to the point of needing to assert “the truth” rather than just let an openly sarcastic, jesful blog have a little fun on Longhorn Football Christmas, we’re sorry. Genuinely. Smack-talking is part of it all – and we feel badly you’re unable to appreciate its importance.

-txhny-

Posted in Big 12, Get your act together dammit, Meet The Opponent, Oklahoma, themaskedwino, toothless varmints | 2 Comments »

Nothing Helps.

Posted by RubyLynn on October 1, 2007

Not even this, or this, or even this makes it better.crying-ou-boy-screenshot.jpg
Not even this mini toothless varmint’s tears make me happy.

Posted in Notre Dame, Oklahoma, Texas A&M, themaskedwino, toothless varmints | 5 Comments »

Big XII Roundtable – State of the Conference Address

Posted by TxHny on September 28, 2007

This week the Bix XII Roundtable hosted over at Crimson and Cream Machine returns. I’ve been frankly quite busy with work, so I’ve let my good friend write the post for me. He’s a little media shy so we’ll just call him “G. W.” to protect his personal privacy. Privacy is very important to G. W. (*Cough* *cough – wheeze* Patriot Act *cough*. You’ll have to excuse me, my allergies are killing me. Damn ragweed. *Sneeze*)

The Big 12 conference has only four unbeaten teams left and has endured numerous embarrassing performances on television. State where you believe the Big 12 ranks among the BCS conferences.

“What are you talking about? Of course the Big XII is the best conference in the world. What? You think the SEC, the Big East, or pff the Pac 10 can mess with us? Don’t mess with Texas. You fool me once well, shame on you. Fool me twice, and you aren’t going to fool me twice. Ya got that? Heh, heh, heh.”

What has been the conference’s best victory and worst defeat so far this season?

“What we need to discuss is the battle at hand: terrorists! We have to devote all possible resources and manpower to taking out these ‘ax-eeze’ of power. We’ve got the terrorists on the run. We’re keeping them on the run. One by one the terrorists are learning the meaning of Longhorn justice.”

image_coachbobstoops.jpg
The Kingpin, Enemy #1

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Frandullah, Enemy #2

“Our worst defeat to date, is the loss of Oklahoma State against the City of Troy. I saw 300, and those guys are some bad sons-a-bitches. You see, the… thing is what they need to do is get over to Norman, to get Stoops-bollah to stop doing this shit and it’s over.”

Conference Power Rankings. The best part of the roundtable is voicing how we believe the conference teams rank each week, from top to bottom. So, go ahead, let us know who’s up and who’s down in your book this week.

  1. Oklahoma
  2. Dick Cheney
  3. Texas
  4. Missouri
  5. Nebraska
  6. Kansas
  7. Texas Tech
  8. Kansas State
  9. Oklahoma State
  10. Texas A&M
  11. Baylor
  12. Colorado
  13. Iowa State

There you have it. You may have noticed that there are a few questions missing. G. W. has been known to dance around topics that may upset particular constituents every now and then. Nobody really questions him and you shouldn’t either. I hear his friend Richard backs him up (and that guy eats glass shards and pickled baby feet for breakfast).

Posted in Big 12, blog love, Dick Cheney is a bad motha - shut yo mouth!, empty promises, Oklahoma, Roundtables, Texas A&M, txhny | 3 Comments »

BlogPoll Roundtable – Story Lines Emerge

Posted by TxHny on September 20, 2007

You already have the eloquent, thoughtful responses from our host and fellow Longhorn blogger at BON. If that wasn’t enough (What is wrong with you?), you can read here for the not so eloquent, reasonably well thought out (over a nice post-work Shiner Blonde) answers from a fan of the female persuasion.

1. Handicap your team’s chances to win your conference championship. If your team is not the favorite, who is?

Everyday I have to put up with this smug Sooner co-worker. Normally his pitiful attempt to string sentences together (an exaggeration, he’s actually a fantastic attorney) do nothing but lay the foundation for the Longhorn smack I love to deliver. Lately, I have no retort. No, not even slights about crying children or getting Bomar’d do the trick. And while we’re discussing characters, story lines and the like, write this down: Oklahoma is the Juggernaut, bitch. If OU doesn’t take Big 12 , it is because A) UT is like, “j/k we’ll start playing for real now”or B) Mizzou pulls a fantastic upset.

Plus, if I can’t see Texas and LSU in a game (which I’m not ruling out yet!), I’d like to see Oklahoma and LSU. In addition to the wonderful things I love about Louisiana, I think it would be grand to see victory snatched from Stoopsy-poo twice by LSU. OU may be the Juggernaut, but I think LSU is in the end the better team

2. Outline the (realistic) best case and worst case scenarios for your team.

Best Case: In much the way Aggies wish for Fran, I wish our offensive play calling would continue to suck, we get our asses handed to us by K-State, again and then Ding! Dong! Greg Davis is dead. Or at least fired. Thanks for the help, friend, but don’t let the door hit ya on the way out. You are the weakest link. Goodbye.

Worst Case:
We pull three to five (seven?) more mediocre-performance wins, squeak by Nebraska and OU if God really did bless Texas, I’m hospitalized for heart failure, and we’re still not utilizing our talent or our size, we still think a handoff out of the shotgun is fooling anyone and Greg Davis remains on the coaching staff.


That isn’t very lady like. Or mature. Or any of the things I’d like to be. So I’ll put this on the record:

Best Case: Realistically? Texas obliterates Rice and Kansas State, with momentum beats the Sooners, and coasts through the end of the season. I say coast, not ignoring Nebraska, Texas Tech or Texas A&M. Coast in the way that we play these challenging opponents in an impressive way and use our strengths to win decisively (i.e., our new found amazing defense holds Graham Harrell to 200 yards passing, etc*). I agree that a BCS game is not out of reach, but I won’t be shocked if we end up out of the picture. Maybe this year I’ll actually spend the first part of the year with my family and celebrate my Mom’s birthday with her, rather than calling her completely wasted on my road trip.

Worst Case: We beat Rice by less than two TDs, lose to KState, Oklahoma, Nebraska, Texas Tech and Texas A&M. That will make us 7-5 at the end of conference play, with only one win to a then-ranked opponent: TCU. I’ll still be a longhorn fan, and I certainly won’t tear any testicles over it, but it will be one long and terrible off season.

*Sidenote: That kid has like 439 yds/game and 14TDs. Whoa.

3. We’re only three games in to the season, but teams and storylines are starting to take shape. Compare your team to a character or theme from a fable or children’s tale.

Come on?! The three little pigs?! How can I beat that? Sigh…. How about…

London bridge is falling down,
falling down, falling down,
London Bridge is falling down,
My fair Lady.

Or, slightly more creative…

Bobino, Dockery, dock,
We’re almost out of clock.
We barely won,
Our team’s is down
Hickory, dickory, dock.

Not optimistic enough for you?

Eeny, meeny, miny, moe
Catch a Sooner by the toe
If he hollers, its 4th and go!
Eeny, meeny, miny, moe

Out goes one (TCU)
Out goes two (UCF)
Out goes another one (Texas A&M)
And that is you. (Fiesta Bowl!)

(And themaskedwino just got home from Happy Hour(s), and has offered the following. Verbatim.)

“WHeeee!!!!
Little Mister Mack Brown,
Sat on his… something,
Eating his BBQ…and beans,
Along came a Sooner
who tried to spoon her (him)
and frightened Mack Brown away

Wait…you can’t do away, because its ‘beans’….

Along game a Sooner
who tried to spoon her (him)
and so he called him a queen…s!”

little-miss-muffet-nursery-rhymes.jpglittle-miss-muffet-nursery-rhymes.jpg
Who buys this shit?

4. Imagine you’re the coach of your team. Give three specific changes you’d implement immediately which you think would have the biggest impact on improving the team.

1. Fire Greg Davis. Alright, last shot for this post. I’m just bitter. Can you blame me?

1. Experience clearly isn’t working so let’s get some fresh meat in there against Rice to get a few game time downs. We’ve got to get it together before we play OU.

2. Blocking, tackling, aggressive defensive play. We saw a little bit of this against TCU, but overall I’ve been unimpressed. Opponents that aren’t as strong and aren’t as big are breaking two, three, four tackles before we get them down or out. You think Justin Blalock or Derrick Johnson would stand for that? Or more, those big corn fed Huskers? Hell no, motha fu**a! Our blocking is abysmal. Jamaal Charles can run but often he’s out there without a blocker. Why? Why? Aggressive play. Man up. You heard me. Our team just doesn’t look fired up, they don’t look like they want it. I want to see some hits.

3. The screen is not the only option to do an outside run. The handoff from the shotgun isn’t surprising anyone. Let’s see some magic from the offense, okay?

5. USC, LSU/Florida, and Oklahoma have established themselves as the frontrunners in the early going. Which other team or teams are you eyeballing as potential BCS party crashers?

It is very early to make bowl predictions, but what the hell. I’ll admit I haven’t really looked at these folks upcoming schedules so these may be totally improbable- but these are teams, BCS worthy or not, that have certainly caught my eye.

Clemson, Boston College, Alabama, South Carolina and Oregon. The BCS party crashers are more likely Boston College and Oregon, but then again I would have put a grand on Michigan against App State if someone would have been willing. I think the bigger concern for me is not the who, but the what. Even if Texas isn’t one of the games, I’d really like to see some interesting bowl games (i.e. Boise/Oklahoma). I feel like every year I’m all psyched up about the bowl games and they are this huge let down. One team annihilates the other, as expected, or I get so annoyed with the culmination of crap that I’m tempted to watch the South Parks I have saved on my DVR.

Posted in Big 12, blog love, Get your act together dammit, meat and taters, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Roundtables, Texas A&M, txhny | 3 Comments »

Big 12 Roundtable: Now We Know

Posted by TxHny on September 12, 2007

This week’s questions are from Crimson and Cream Machine, the blog of our infamous rival across the Red River.

1. Based on what you now know to be your team’s strengths and weaknesses – if the game was on the line, do you want your offense or defense on the field?

Just to be the other side of the coin, I’ll go with the Texas defense. After Arkansas State I was not impressed, and the problems we’ve had for a couple seasons with our secondary were completely exposed. After the TCU game however, I really like the more aggressive style of defense. I’d like to see that continue, so I give the vote to the Longhorn D.

2. If you had to pick a team from the AP Top 10 for your team to play this weekend, who would you pick, and why (OU & Texas are not options)?

I’d love love love to see a game with LSU. If we played this weekend we’d get taken behind the woodshed, but can you imagine how much fun the tailgate would be? Gumbo and BBQ. Shiner Bock and boudain. Laissez le bon temps roulet!

Buuuuut that would not be this weekend. This weekend, I’d love to see West Virginia. A nice win against a highly ranked opponent would bode well for the Longhorns. Plus I’d like to see how Colt and the offense would do against Williams, Ivy and Magro. (Not to ignore WVU’s offense, led by dual-threat Patrick White.)

3. You can take one player off your team and trade him for any player in the conference who plays the same position – who are you taking?

Hmm. I can’t believe I’m saying this… but considering the question marks around Orakpo’s return… I’d like to take Alonzo Dotson from OU for Eddie Jones. Jones has done a fine job while Orakpo is out, but Dotson is a tacklin’ machine.

Too bad we can’t get this guy.

4. Conference Power Rankings! Rank the teams in the conference from first to worst.

1. Oklahoma. I can’t wait for October 6th.

2. Texas – Don’t question our authority.

cartmancop.gif

3. Nebraska – Come on. Beat USC. Please??

4. Missouri – I don’t understand how Texas A&M is on the AP Poll, and Missouri is not. Big 12 South bias?

5. Texas Tech – Can Graham keep Leach out of the hot seat?

6. Kansas, Texas A&M, Kansas State – Kind of a cop out by putting them together. I just couldn’t order them and really feel good about it. I’ve underestimated Kansas and Kansas State on more than one occasion. Texas A&M also leaves me uncomfortable. Fresno State isn’t a terrible team, but I felt that the Aggies should have ran away with the game.

9. Oklahoma State – Disappointed. I expected a lot more out of the first couple of games.

10. Colorado – Particularly after they lose to Florida State this week.

11. Baylor – “Heavenly Father, Thank you for Iowa State. Amen.”

12. Iowa State Chizik: Do you miss Bevo yet?

5. Big 12 Players of the Week – Make your selections for offensive and defensive players of the week for week two.

Offense: Colt McCoy. He didn’t look awesome the first half of the TCU game, but he rushed for 34 yards, and threw for 239. I know TD passes are a big deal and I want to see more of those, but I hope we’ll see more of Week 2 Colt this season. (Yes. I know I’m a homer. I gave Bradford his due last week.)

Defense: To mix things up, let’s go with Steve Octavian from Nebraska. 6 tackles, 2 for loss, and some pass defense to boot. Nice.

Not on CCM’s list of questions, but… Big 12 Hot Player of the Week.

Posted in blog love, like - school spirit!, Meet The Opponent, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Texas A&M | Leave a Comment »

Apparently, he deserved it.

Posted by RubyLynn on September 12, 2007

Remember that gruesome story of that crazy Sooner who nearly castrated someone simply for wearing a Texas shirt? Well, now there is doubt that they’ll be able to find an impartial jury.

Read more here.

Posted in balls, Oklahoma, themaskedwino, toothless varmints | Leave a Comment »