Gabriel's Horn

A terribly biased view of sports through the Eyes of Texas.

Archive for the ‘Big 12’ Category

BCS BS and Basketball

Posted by TxHny on December 3, 2007

Well, there you have it Longhorn fans. The Holiday Bowl. Hooray. The BCS bowl selections bring their usual expected, “Wha??? Um…okay. Whatever. I’ll watch it. But I don’t care who wins. At all.”

I’m actually pretty satisfied with Arizona State – I could think of much worse match ups. Should be a good game.

Onward…

Longhorn basketball. Wow – looks like we can expect big things from the men in orange this year. In case you missed it….

I know the big question on many Longhorn fans’ minds preseason: “Who will step up in the vacuum of Kevin Durant?” (You remember KD, right? Good.) The answer: Everyone.

It is no secret that football is my obsession and that I don’t know nearly as much about basketball. However, this Longhorn is delightfully excited about our basketball team this year.

Gotta go, gotta go, gotta go right now.

Still not interested in basketball? Well… I certainly missed this until my friend TB at Bring on The Cats mentioned it. Wow. I have nothing else to say. Wow.

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Posted in basketball, Big 12, blog love, Kansas State, Texas, txhny | 2 Comments »

Number 2 and Falling

Posted by burntorangehulk on November 20, 2007

Editor’s Note: This week we welcome back an old friend now under the name Burnt Orange Hulk. BOH graduated from the University of Texas with a degree in advertising. He is currently making the world a better place. What the f*** are you doing?

As we approach the last week of the regular season, enjoy his breakdown of #2 Kansas and join us in hoping to see more insightful, if angry, commentary from one of our favorite Texas Exes.
–txhny

The Kansas football team makes the grade on the field the same way every great football team does in the classroom – with a high school caliber schedule. Taking a look at the teams Kansas steamrolled on its way to the top, you’ll find 75 losses. Multiply that by 1 Div – IAA, 2 MAC’s and a Sun Belt and you have a recipe for hype. Kansas must have hired a great resume writer because they are essentially a community college GPA padder being considered for an executive position. We’ll see if they can write a decent cover letter on Saturday against Missouri. If it’s impressive, they’ll get the final interview against the leader of the Big XII South. Assuming Kansas can sweet talk its way into the corner office, an Ivy League graduate will be waiting to show off the fruits of an expensive education… in his own backyard. Don’t expect this one to end like Pursuit of Happiness. The Rubik’s Cube might be difficult, but it doesn’t hit back.

Giving credit where credit is due – Mangino is a fantastic coach. He orchestrated an Oklahoma offense in 2000 that made a statement against Texas and went on to crush everything in its path. At the time, coaches snubbed Quentin Griffin before he strolled through the Texas D-line on his way to a game winning touchdown against Florida State for the National Title. This year the Big XII passed on another Texas player under Mangino’s enormous belt, who’s been passing on them ever since. As a resident of the Lake Travis area, my family enjoyed watching Reesing throw in high school. He’s a stellar athlete who learned from an incredible coach. Scouts – take notes from Mangino because the best from Lake Travis has yet to come. While Kansas’s schedule is weaker than Mangino’s metabolism, he sweats out every ounce of performance his players have to offer and that’s the sign of a great coach.

The “Opponents”


Florida International
– Well, they’re perfect at losing coming in at 10 and counting, allowing 395 points. Don’t give up yet, Kansas is just getting started.

Central Michigan
– A more respectable record with 5 losses, but wins only over teams with roughly 8 losses. I wouldn’t go reaching for the Gatorade cooler.

SE Louisiana
– Stumbling to 8 losses, barely beating a winless S F Austin, and allowing 45 points against 7 loss Div I-A Texas State.

Toledo
– They carry 6 losses and have allowed 433 points to date.

Kansas State
– A squeaker win for KU against a 6 loss team that lost to the worst of the Big XII. Yes, they beat Texas in a freak show of Texas turnovers and return fiesta, but accomplished nothing more. Not to mention they allowed the train-wreck that is Nebraska to put up 73 points.

Baylor
– 9 losses, allowed 444 points, Coach fired. We really don’t need to get more in depth than that.

Colorado
– Another squeaker against a 6 loss team with its only legit win coming over OU. And OU sucks! (Ahem… TECH.)

aTm
– 5 losses with wins over a pathetic schedule of certified losers who scrape the bottom of the barrel for opponents. Coach soon to be fired.

Nebraska
– Don’t even call this experiment by the name Nebraska. Nebraska is a team I love to fear and share a cold one with. This thing I call Nebifornia has 6 losses and no resemblance of Nebraska football. Luckily for Callahan, the fans in that stadium are too classy to boo him off the field every week. The 76 points Kansas put up was impressive, but Nebifornia seems to have abandoned the concept of defense. Coach soon to be fired.

Oklahoma State
– Maybe the only quality win for the Jayhawks all season. A team with the most respectable, 5 loss, schedule. OSU is an inconsistent team with scattered talent that has a historical inability to finish games versus anyone besides OU (and they’re going to beat OU)! Coach Gundy, I don’t give a damn how old you are. I’m 26, and I’m talking shit about your team!

Iowa State
– What can we say about this 9 loss Baylor of the Big XII North? Well, they opened the season by falling to 8 loss Kent State. Even the Texas offense, in its struggle to establish a post-Vince game plan, kicked this team around like a rusty can in the gutter.

Missouri
– Consistent offense and highly capable defense. They stifled high flying Tech, and kept it interesting against a healthy OU. If Kansas can take down the Tigers, not to mention convincingly, I will be impressed. This is definitely the match up I didn’t expect to stay awake through.

The Key Question:
Is Kansas a vastly improved football team emerging from the shadow of the basketball stadium, which deserves kudos from a conference full of teams that haven’t pulled their own weight in recent years? YES. Is Kansas the number 2 team in the nation? NO.

Posted in Big 12, burntorangehulk, Kansas, meat and taters | 2 Comments »

Meet The Opponent – Texas Tech

Posted by TxHny on November 9, 2007

 

This week we have a battle of the interior against our fellow Texans at Tech. I always look forward to playing Tech, especially when they are in Austin. Those Tech sonsabetches drink like fish when they get into a wet city, which usually provides entertainment for us local folks.

But on to what you are interested in – who is going to win the game this weekend and why? There are some Longhorn fans (one in particular, who I had a rather long GChat ‘discussion’ with regarding most of the following) who think Texas is going to lose this weekend. The argument:

 

  • Tech has the number 1 passer in the nation.
  • Tech has the number 1 and 4 of the top ten receivers in the nation.
  • Texas has some pretty significant injuries.
  • Texas has a less than stellar pass defense.
  • Tech does have a “weak” run defense, but less than half of Texas’ yards are rush yards.
  • Tech has the No. 7 pass defense in the nation.
    • Oh, and the best we’ve played are the Number 56 and 57 pass defenses. (OU and KState)
  • Texas’ top rushers are:
    • Jamaal Charles (awesome.)
    • Colt McCoy (really?)
    • Vondrell McGee (if only he could get more plays…)
    • John Chiles (WTF!?)
  • Texas has corners that are around 5’10, and they have receivers that are 6’2.

If you look at it that way, it looks like perhaps he has a point. This doesn’t bode well for Texas. We’ve got one key rusher and we’re facing the best past defense in the nation. That makes it tough for us to get points on the board. On the other side, as far as defending this air bombardment, there is a reason I didn’t list our pass defense’s rank. (Just comfort yourself in knowing that it is better than Texas A&M’s.) Who cares about our rush defense – Tech isn’t going to run it.

However, I still think the Longhorns will come out on top this year. Why? I’m so glad you asked.

The big, big reason I believe this is because of Tech’s current record. They have 6 big games this year. They’ve got two left with Texas and Oklahoma to finish out the end of the season. The other four ‘big’ games were Colorado, Mizzou, Oklahoma State and Texas A&M. Three losses and a W against Fran&Co. So who exactly has Tech been smacking around with the air attack and pass defense? I give you the list of Tech’s prestigious wins this season: SMU, UTEP, Rice, Northwestern State, Iowa State, and Baylor.

Don’t get me wrong, Texas certainly hasn’t played a list of powerhouses, but I think our schedule is stronger than Tech’s. If we had that same schedule, I think our numbers would be a bit different.

A closer look….

OFFENSE

Passing – Advantage: TEXAS TECH

This is certainly Texas Tech’s strong point. Gimmick offense it may be, however, it is working for them. Graham Harrell has put up 4412 yards, completing 73.5% of his passes. Yes friends, that is 441 yards per game in the air. Harrell has several options, but hooks up most frequently with 5 WRs led by the kingpin, Michael Crabtree. Crabtree has 1512 yards this season, averaging 150 yards a game. Amendola is close behind with 1014 yards, at 100 yards a game. The rest is split between Eric Morris, Edward Britton and Grant Walker, who collectively have less yards than Crabtree.

Texas on the other hand splits the offense a little more evenly between passing and rushing. Colt McCoy has completed 65.6% of passes for 2632 yards, that’s 260 per game. Colt connects primarily with Nate Jones, Quan Cosby and Jermichael Finley (628, 519, and 500 yards respectively.)

However, to make things a little more even, the Masked Wino has done an excellent comparison of situations in similar games.

Passing Yards (Texas/Tech)

Rice 333/481
Iowa State 298/460
Oklahoma State 282/646
Baylor 293/490

TOTAL 1206/2077
ADVANTAGE: TECH

You’ll see here that Tech certainly has more yards on us for similar opponents.

Rushing – Advantage: Texas

Tech’s top three rushers garner a measly 725 yards (Shannon Woods, Koby Lewis, and Aaron Crawford). Texas on the other hand has many more rushing weapons, led by Jamaal Charles with 1192 yards. The top 5 rushers for the Longhorns have 1959 yards this season. Take a look at the head to head comparison provided by TMW.

Rushing Yards (Texas/Tech)

Rice 227/111
Iowa State 216/29
Oklahoma State 307/72
Baylor 177/73

TOTAL: 927/285
ADVANTAGE: Texas

Texas seriously outnumbers Tech in this department, which should come as no surprise to you.

Offensive Summary, Advantage: Texas Tech

So as far as offense, Texas is half and half and Tech is the airball. If we look at the head to head chart (for similar games of course), Tech has the advantage – but not by much.

Total Offense (Texas/Tech)

Rice 560/592
Iowa State 514/489
Oklahoma State 589/718
Baylor 470/563

TOTAL: 2133/2362
ADVANTAGE: TECH

Additionally, first downs are very important, and Texas Tech takes that cake as well, again by very little. I think that means that this will be a defensive battle. Who can hold who to less yards?

DEFENSE

Pass Defense – Advantage, Texas Tech

Briefly, Texas has some issues to overcome on defense – but I have been pleased with our growth this year. Is it where I’d like us to be at this point in the season? No, but progress is progress. Does this little discussion here mean I think we have the best defense in the world, no it doesn’t, but I do think it has what it takes to beat Texas Tech.

Tech has allowed 1783 yards on the pass, that’s 178 yards per game. That is a low number. We split our offense, and we have 260 per game. Texas on the other hand has allowed almost 250 yards per game. Again, the Texas D has some issues. However, when we take a closer look at TMW’s chart, it doesn’t look nearly so lopsided.

Opponents’ Passing Yards (Texas/Tech)

Rice 279/212
Iowa State 135/187
Oklahoma State 430/244
Baylor 284/191

TOTAL: 1128/834
ADVANTAGE: TECH

Rush Defense – Advantage: Texas

On the rush, Tech has held opponents to 1663 yards this season. Nearly half of those yards came during the three losses this season. (Hence, my other key point: the rush is the key to beating Texas Tech.)

Texas held opponents to only 1011 yards. Two teams were held to less than 10 yards (Rice being -11.)

For the head to head on similar opponents, Texas’ strength on defending the rush becomes clearer.

Opponents’ Rushing Yards (Texas/Tech)

Rice -11/99
Iowa State 93/100
Oklahoma state 164/366
Baylor 8/91

TOTAL: 254/656
ADVANTAGE: TEXAS

Defensive Summary, Advantage: Texas

Opponents’ Total Offense (Texas/Tech)

Rice 268/311
Iowa State 228/287
Oklahoma State 594/610
Baylor 292/282

TOTAL: 1382/1490
ADVANTAGE: TEXAS

Opponents’ First Downs (Texas/Tech)

Rice 17/25
Iowa State 14/17
Oklahoma State 29/29 Baylor 19/21

TOTAL: 79/92
ADVANTAGE: TEXAS

On total defense, Texas has the clear advantage holding the same opponents to less first downs and less total offense. Texas Tech does have a primarily pass offense, but without a solid rushing threat they will have trouble exploiting our defense. Pass defense may be our weakest point, but Texas has a rush/pass offense that Tech may have trouble defending. This isn’t our first rodeo with Tech, and you can bet that we’ll be ready.

OVERALL SUMMARY

Texas will win this game. We have the overall defensive advantage and a serious weapon in Jamaal Charles. The rushing attack is the key to beating Texas Tech.

Texas also has the X-factor and the home field advantage. It causes me near cardiac arrest every game, but even if we are down at halftime we will make adjustments and we will come back and win.

Texas Keys To Winning This Game:

-Pressure pressure pressure on Harrell.
-Make them earn all offensive yards, so no broken tackles. After the first hit, our opponents usually eek out another 3-4 yards until another defender jumps in.
-Rush, rush, pass pass. Wear out their pass defense and expose their joke of a rush defense.
-Colt, we normally give you two credits per game for interceptions, fumbles etc. I’m going to have to ask you to not do that at all, okay?

Credit, thanks, etc:
http://www.mackbrown-texasfootball.com
texastech.cstv.com/sports/m-footbl/text-m-footbl-body.html
http://www.cfbstats.com

Posted in Big 12, meat and taters, Meet The Opponent, texas tech, themaskedwino, txhny | 2 Comments »

Big 12 Roundtable Round Up

Posted by TxHny on November 9, 2007

 

Thanks to everyone for participating, good thoughts all around.

1. With only two or three games left, how are you feeling about your season? Disappointed, elated, surprised, a little violated?

I can relate to PB over at BON, and I’m not sure what girls kissing had to do with it, but right on. 🙂

Exhausted. I feel like I just got through a six hour sex-a-fight with my girlfriend. Lots of fighting, with pauses now and again to have wild make up sex. Rinse, repeat.

I also really enjoyed the optimism from Clone Chronicles. I’m still mad at you for taking our DC. Particularly as the flaws in our pass defense will be painfully exposed this weekend.

As strange as it may sound to opposing fans, I really do feel excited. We bottomed out against Texas, but ever since, we really have been playing on a different level. Playing neck-and-neck with two top ten teams in OU and Mizzou, then our biggest win in two years over Kansas State. It’s a beautiful thing knowing that the player’s are buying into Gene Chizik’s system. We have a very winnable game on Saturday against Colorado, and I don’t expect us to just lay down for KU.

And perhaps the best summation comes from CornNation. I think most Husker fans are with you. When Nebraska was in town, we saw Husker fans walking around with T-shirts that said “The Callahan Farewell Tour.” It had this seasons schedule, with the scores from all the games. Ice cold.

Disappointment is when you fumble a ball on a 3rd and 2 play and let Texas come back to beat you at home. It’s when your star receiver fumbles a ball on the first play of the Big 12 Championship game and spots Oklahoma a 7-0 lead. No, this season isn’t disappointing. This season is embarrassing. It’s humiliating.

2. I have to ask, how do you feel about the (possible) buyout of Fran at Texas A&M?

Sounds like most of Big 12 either A) couldn’t care less or B) thinks Fran is the key to keeping Texas A&M as a Mediocre team.

CornNation agrees with Brad at the 12thmanchild in that the insider’s newsletter was the breaking point.

He broke the number one rule of staying employed. If things are going badly, don’t give them an excuse to get rid of you. I never saw the greatness that others did in Franchione before he got to A&M, but the stunt he pulled with the insider’s newsletter was the mark of a fool.

Rock M Nation relates Aggies sentiments.

As long as he’s around long enough to keep the ball out of J-Train’s hands this weekend like he’s done all year, I’m absolutely fine with it. But, also, as the brother of an Aggie and the son of an Alabama alum, I know the rest of my family is ready to see him walk out the door with his tail between his legs. Even if each leg is worth $1 million per year in buyout terms.

Harsh words from Bring on the Cats. Harsh words, but kinda true.

I will never feel sorry for any of the big-money (Texas, Texas A&M, Oklahoma, Nebraska) programs in the Big 12. Ever. They get themselves into situations like this, and I feel it’s my duty to laugh at them when it happens. Go ahead, Aggies. Throw money at the situation, and hope to God it gets better. A great reminder to every arrogant fan of a big-money program that you’re only one bad head coach from suckage. Oklahoma learned that in the 1990s, as did Texas. Nebraska has learned its lesson now. And A&M is perfecting the technique.

3. We’ve picked coaches, players, stadiums and everything else from other teams. Now, we get down to something even more near and dear: mascots. If you could pick another Big 12 mascot other than your own – who would it be and why?

The Big 12 favorite – Raphie from Colorado (picked by Husker Mike, CornNation and Bring on the Cats).

The runner up? The Texas Tech Red Raider(picked by BON and CCM). Who doesn’t like zoro?

Other votes came in for Pistol Pete and Bevo.

4. Unexpected Greatness, Unexpected Suckage. Who surprised you this year? Who did you get really excited about, only to be let down? (The first Roundtable asked who was the face of the franchise – do you still feel that way?)

I have to agree with BON, Sergio Kindle is an animal.

Do not fuck with Sergio Kindle.

And I also agree, unfortunatly, with CCM. Damn it. I was really hoping that the Bomar fiasco was going to be the beginning of a QB nightmare for the Sooners. Damn. Damn. Damn.

There hasn’t been a bigger surprise at OU this season than the quality of play that Sam Bradford is giving the Sooners. He has now become the “face of the franchise” at OU rising from obsqurity to national recognition.

Even more agreement with MidWest Coast Bias. The Sam Keller story womps.

I was very excited about Sam Keller and Marlon Lucky. Sam did about as well as a one year transfer would normally be expected to, but he played within the system fairly well and, with more time, I felt could’ve been something special in the offense. I still feel badly about the way his career ended and probably always will. Marlon continues to prove doubters in his own camp wrong.

I was expecting a bit more from Bo Ruud this year. I thought perhaps the preseason magazines saw something that I didn’t. It just didn’t seem that Ruud had the explosion, the aggression and the passion that I expected from a senior let alone a captain. Then again, I haven’t seen that from a few guys on Saturday in red.

A little more disappointment from the Nebraska camp at Husker Mike’s Blasphemy.

Well, Ndamakong Suh probably needs to be on a milk carton as he’s practically disappeared. Heck…last week, FSN couldn’t even get his number right. And Nebraska’s entire linebacker corp has proven to be a huge disappointment.

5. I told you there would be booze. Characterize your team by the beverage of your choice.

I was a little surprised that there were no-drinking sports bloggers. Don’t worry, the Masked Wino and I drink your share. For the rest of us, it appears there is a reason football and drinking go hand-in-hand.

Clone Chronicles

Straight vodka. You know that it’s not going to down easy, and that enough of it will probably make you puke, but you keep coming back. After a while, the horrible taste wears away and you start to feel warm and more self confident. You know you shouldn’t overindulge and become too attached, but you usually do, and before you know it, you’re crying and puking at the same time.

Husker Mike

We’re those little bottles of booze on an airplane. You hand over your money, and you get this little sip (Nevada). Then you spend the rest of the flight (season) realizing you got screwed royally.

However, the prize goes to Bring On The Cats

I will characterize K-State as wine in a liquor store. Not any specific kind of wine, just wine. You see, I hate wine. I never drink it unless I absolutely have to. I wouldn’t know a good bottle of wine if its cork popped out and hit me in the nuts. So, I am likely to be about as consistent about choosing a good bottle of wine from the hundreds of bottles at the liquor store as K-State is likely to consistently play well this year. Sometimes I’ll make a home-run decision and pick a bottle of win that rocks my socks (analogous to: Texas game, Colorado game), and sometimes I’ll pick something that tastes like it was strained through a Frenchman’s sweaty socks (analogous to: Oklahoma State, Iowa State, Baylor first half).

Lightning Round

– BIG 12 Loves

Jamaal Charles, Sam Bradford, Jordy Nelson, Chase Daniels, Jorvorskie Lane, Michael Crabtree, Frandullah, Marlon Lucky, Steve Octavien, Zack Bowman, Seth Jensen, Kansas Jayhawks, Cortney Grixby, Nate Swift, Maurice Purify, Ndamukong Suh, Marcus Watts, Rushing Attacks, and “I’m a man! I’m forty!”

– BIG 12 Disses

Texas Tech, Colorado, Stephen McGee, Mike Gundy, Baylor, Steve Pederson, Bill Callahan, Kevin Cosgrove, Mike Gundy, Dennis Franchione, Mike Gundy, Gary Pinkel, Dantrell Savage, Aggie receivers, Chris Harrington, Mark Dodge, DeMarco Murray, Malcolm Kelly, Curtis Lofton, Gerald McCoy, Iowa State, Nebraska, Texas and OSU.

– Pick ‘em Consensus (and Dissent)

Colorado @ Iowa state – Colorado (4)
Texas A&M @ Mizzou – Mizzou (0)
KState @ Nebraska – KState (2)
TCEH @ Texas – Texas (1)
Baylor @ Oklahoma – Oklahoma (0)
Kansas @ Okay State – Kansas (3)

– Rank ‘em Consensus.

1. Kansas
2. Oklahoma
3. Mizzouri
4. Texas
5. Oklahoma State
6. Texas Tech
7. Kansas State
8. Texas A&M
9. Colorado
10. Iowa State
11. Nebraska
12. Baylor

Posted in Big 12, Roundtables, txhny | Leave a Comment »

Texas Tech Hate Week Day 3 – “Even U of H is better than Tech”

Posted by gingerut on November 8, 2007

You want stats? I’ll give you stats.

Nebraska > Wake Forest > Florida State > Colorado > Texas Tech

But it doesn’t stop there. I continued to dig and found:
University of Houston > Colorado State > UNLV > Utah > San Diego State > Wyoming > Virginia > Nebraska > Wake Forest > Florida State > Colorado > Texas Tech.

And when I applied the transitive property:
University of Houston > Texas Tech.

good ol’ Conference USA.

Posted in Big 12, texas tech | Tagged: , , , , | 7 Comments »

Big 12 Roundtable – The End is Near

Posted by TxHny on November 7, 2007

We’re hosting the party this week, so hold on to your livers. Thanks to Crimson and Cream Machine for getting this going.

1. With only two or three games left, how are you feeling about your season? Disappointed, elated, surprised, a little violated?

Much like Dick Cheney, I feel nothing. Wins are wins, and we are after all 8-2, and I should be really excited about that. Don’t get me wrong, the last couple of games were exciting – but I feel like just when we’re getting revved up, the season is almost over. I’m not disappointed or elated. I’m just… sigh….

Oh, and yes, I’m still feeling very violated by Kansas State. Ouch! If only we would have employed the Bobby Hill method…


That’s my purse!!!!

2. I have to ask, how do you feel about the (possible) buyout of Fran at Texas A&M?

As much as we kid about him being Frandullah, I’m a little disappointed that this is playing out so publicly. I think what will come is pretty obvious, (check out this for a little elaboration…) and much to the delight of many Aggies. As much as I love beating the Aggs, I think this little drama spells disaster for Texas A&M’s final games.

3. We’ve picked coaches, players, stadiums and everything else from other teams. Now, we get down to something even more near and dear: mascots. If you could pick another Big 12 mascot other than your own – who would it be and why?

Mizzou Tigers, hands down.

mizzouri-tiger.jpg
You want a piece of me?

4. Unexpected Greatness, Unexpected Suckage. Who surprised you this year? Who did you get really excited about, only to be let down? (The first Roundtable asked who was the face of the franchise – do you still feel that way?)

I have to say I’ve been really impressed with Nate Jones. At least in my book, that guy came out of nowhere. Also, you’ve heard this before, but I’m really impressed with Deon Beasley’s growth.

As far as suckage, losing Sweed was a big disappointment. And until a week or two ago, I felt Jamaal Charles wasn’t really being utilized to his full potential. (Dahorns and I can’t decide if there was method to this or not, but that’s for another date.) I really wanted our offense to open up and see some of that explosive playing – but I feel like we didn’t really get ourselves in gear until Nebraska. That’s way too late in the season if you ask me.

5. I told you there would be booze. Characterize your team by the beverage of your choice.

Long Island Ice Tea. We’ve got everything – offense, defense, bad-A coaches and a splash of triple sec for that Orange flavor we need. And you can call us fruity or girly if you want, but if you aren’t careful we will knock you flat on your ass.

Lightning Round – worth double the points (which will still work out to zero…), and twice the fun!

– Love ’em.

Jamaal Charles – You are a beast.
Sam Bradford – Why are you so good? Stop, please. Thanks.

– Diss ’em.

Texas Tech – you’re going down!! You’re run defense is teh suxxors. Jamaal Charles will pwn you.

– Pick ’em.

Colorado @ Iowa state – CU
Texas A&M @ Mizzou – Mizzou
KState @ Nebraska – KState
TCEH @ Texas – Texas wins!!!!
Baylor @ Oklahoma – OU
Kansas @ Okay State – Kansas

– Rank ’em.

1. Kansas
2. Oklahoma
3. Mizzouri
4. Texas
5. KState
6. Okay State
7. TCEH
8. A&M
9. Colorado
10. Nebraska
11. Iowa State
12. Baylor

Posted in Big 12, blog love, Roundtables, Texas, txhny | 14 Comments »

Texas Tech Hate Week Day 2 – “When did Colorado get good?”

Posted by gingerut on November 7, 2007

I can’t decide which headline I like better: “Colorado ends 10-game losing skid with rout of Texas Tech” or “Harrell’s 4 INTs too much as Colorado rolls Texas Tech

Posted in Big 12, Colorado, texas tech, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , | 4 Comments »

Texas Tech Hate Week Day 1 – “I kinda like you, but not really”

Posted by gingerut on November 6, 2007

So these posts should have been started Sunday morning but I was too busy spying on the enemy in the land of Red Raiders to get to a computer. And yesterday? It was a Monday; give me a break. So today marks the beginning of Texas Tech Hate Week. Each day will be a new reason (or reasons) to hate, and yet love, our rival in Lubbock.

Today I’ll kick it off with some top 5 lists.

TOP 5 THINGS TO HATE ABOUT HATE TEXAS TECH:

1. Red and Black: I’m sorry, but those colors just don’t look good.
2. No Alcohol: A dry city?!?!? How is a college student supposed to survive? Especially with the prices they have down at the strip. I’ve never seen Lonestar more expensive in my life.
3. Lubbock: It smells like oil and cow manure. Yes, I know its the smell of money but it doesn’t mean I want to smell it all day every day. And its far away from the rest of the world. And there is nothing there, and …. I could keep going.
4. Offense (or lack there of): As much as I love the spread offense I can’t stand a team without a good defense. How do they expect to play real school? Its only fun to watch them beat cupcakes for so long.
5. The Students: Yes, many of the people closest to me go to (or have graduated from) Texas Tech. As much as I love them, it doesn’t mean I love the rest of the student population. It’s not that they are bad people, it’s just that they are like that annoying little brother who thinks they are cool enough (and have a good enough football team) to hang out with you.

But that doesn’t mean there isn’t anything good about our Red Raider friends….

TOP 5 THINGS TO LOVE ABOUT TEXAS TECH:

1. Mike Leach: Who doesn’t love to hear a crazy coach talk? Besides Mack, he is my favorite football coach. What other coach makes up the plays as he goes appears drunk 99% of the time?
2. Chimy’s Margaritas: Oh how I love thee. If only we had a Chimy’s in Austin (or Houston).
3. Pirates: I’ve always been a fan of pirates. And coaches who make up new mascots.
4. Umm…..Chimy’s Margaritas: Yes, I have them twice. They are just that good, and I can’t think of anything else.
5. This video:
Anyone that likes to piss off okies is good in my book.

Feel free to add to the lists and I’ll be back tomorrow for Texas Tech Hate Week Day 2 – “When did Colorado get good?”

Posted in Big 12, texas tech, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , | 5 Comments »

Meet the Opponent Returns – Oklahoma State

Posted by TxHny on November 2, 2007

 

Dear Horn readers, sorry for the lack of content. Back firing on all cylinders – much the way I hope our team is this Saturday.

(Oh and side news – I got a new Mac computer. Bow down, Dell!)

Up on the slate – Oklahoma State Cowpeople. As others have noted, Texas is not exactly out of a BCS bowl. There are several, albeit remote, possibilities that would see Texas in a bowl game. I’d love to see those play out, but they rely heavily on 1) our ability to win out and 2) chance, luck and the complexities of rolling a twenty sided die. (Yes. That is a D&D reference. You like it.)

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“No dungeon master worth his weight in geldings would go anywhere without his… 20-sided die!”

I guess that is getting a bit ahead of ourselves, for now let’s take a more in depth look at Okie Light.

This year OSU has had three losses: Georgia, Texas A&M, and the roughest for the Cowboys – the less than Trojan-like team from Troy University. Georgia and A&M aren’t exactly cupcakes – but losses there didn’t really help them out. Alternatively, they did beat K-State, Nebraska (by 31 points) and Texas Tech. The big factor in this game on Saturday? Who shows up. Will it be “the same OSU team that played Troy” vs. “the Texas from last week’s 4th quarter” — or will it be “the OSU that trounced Nebraska” vs. “the Texas that was 10-7 with Baylor for large parts of the game”?

(Credit where it is due. This post not possible without the help of ESPN and cfbstats.com)

OFFENSE

Rushing – Okie Light
Right now Okie Light is rushing an average of 256.63 yards per game, led by Senior RB Dantrell Savage. (A little comparison – Texas is averaging 186.67 yards per game led overwhelmingly by Jamaal Charles.)

Passing – Texas

Oklahoma State has 1847 yards, 1300 and change thrown by Sophie QB Zac Robinson. Robinson has completed 56% of his passes for 12 TDs, throwing only 7 interceptions. Comparatively, Colt has thrown 65% of his passes for 15 TDs, 2350 yards and 13 interceptions (OUCH!).

Receiving – Texas

The Pokes have a stable receiving core led by Adarius Bowman (50 Receptions for 802 yards), Brandon Pettigrew (19 Receptions for 362 yards) and Freshman Dez Bryant (15 receptions for 190 yards).

For Texas, Nate Jones and Quan Cosby have been so clutch this year. It certainly hurts not having Sweed out there but these guys have really stepped up. Jones (53 receptions for 585 yards), Cosby (46 receptions for 472 yards) and Finley (30 receptions for 421 yards) have put up a total of 1478 yards trumping OSUs top three recievers.

Offensive Summary:

Texas MUST shut down the Oklahoma State ground game. I won’t show you the painful YouTube clips of UCF running all over us. If we cannot shut them down on the ground, the game could get very, very ugly. Oh, and Texas MUST shut them down in the air. OSU hasn’t gotten much attention this year – but they have the ability to put up significant yards both in the air and on the ground. If we lay over, they will happily march over us.

Texas has the edge in the air – that is if good Colt plays on Saturday.

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Will the real McCoy, please stand up, please stand up.

DEFENSE:

DAMN IT. Kindle out for the season with a “stinger.” I’m getting really sick of all these “stinger” injuries.

Mini-Okies have picked off six from opponents this year, and has allowed 15 passing TDs and 11 rushing TDS. They’ve allowed opponents to rack up 308 yards per game passing and 122.75 yards per game rushing.

Texas has had 11 picks and allowed only 17 TDs (10 passing and 7 rushing). Texas gives up the most yards per game on the pass. (227.6 yards per game, only 94.11 yards per game on the rush.)

OVERALL SUMMARY

1. Our defensive players must step up this week, particularly with the latest stinger injury. Please Killebrew. I’ll take back everything negative I’ve ever said — just please, please shut them down.

2. Oklahoma State is weakest on pass defense. We must make it a point to abuse this. These little two and three yard rushes are not going to cut it.

3. Oklahoma State is beatable, some would even say obviously so. However, as we are in the year of the upset, you can’t count anyone out – particularly someone who has nicely beat two teams, one a Texas loss and the other a Texas struggle. CAN Texas beat them? Hell yes. WILL we beat them? That depends on …

4. Who shows up – easily the most important factor in this game.

Posted in Big 12, Get your act together dammit, meat and taters, Meet The Opponent, Oklahoma State, Texas, txhny | 1 Comment »

Want a Slice?

Posted by TxHny on November 2, 2007

I’ve recently made the argument to friends, colleagues and anyone else that will stand around while I yammer that Texas, Texas A&M and OU cannot all be good at the same time. And like most, I’m sure right now you are saying, “Txhny, but what about the game in ____, when ____ and ____ were both in the top 10 and….” Yeah, I know. I also hear your argument, “but Texas is soooo big. There are so many great players – isn’t there enough to go around?” No. There isn’t. There are only a few dynamite players per year — Vince Young, Adrian Peterson, Cedric Benson, Jamaal Charles, etc. etc.

My point is simple: Texas is awesome and everyone would like some of the sugary Texas pie. However, no matter how tasty and talented, there is only so much to go around. Let me explain.

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Pie a la tacklin’ fuel.

I salute Texas High School football programs (prioritized right above TAKS scores), coaches, robustly funded athletic programs and all the teachers who fudge grades for the greater good of footballdom.

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The greater good.

Their work produces finely tuned athletes for both college and professional football, and now with an even butterier crust! And who vies for the largest slices? Texas, Texas A&M and OU. One major talent base, three programs seeking to be a power-house. Whoever gets the biggest slice wins.

“Txhny, you are seriously off your rocker. This is the dumbest thing I’ve ever heard. You can’t just pull whatever you want out of your cute white shiny ass and call it logic.”

And you’re right. Gentlemen, I give you numbers, statistics, fancy charts and several hours of my time cursing at Excel.

The method of my madness: Several weeks ago, billyzane of BON fame did an analysis of games 2001-2006 to determine which factors are the best predictors of success in college football games. This article and his other Football by the Numbers pieces are outstanding. You can read this particular one here. To make my point clear, I took the predictors of success identified by billyzane, and then did comparison charts with numbers from Texas, Texas A&M and OU over the span of 9 years. We’re in “year 10” and I’ll do another post or two with predictions and then a final sum up.

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(You’ll have to click to see it big, but you can get the gist. Red: OU, Orange: TX, Maroon: TAMU)

This particular factor was not listed by billyzane. And if you hate Rivals – please feel free to take it up with them. This is just what I used as a sort of overall indicator. As you can clearly see, Texas is opposite of OU and Texas A&M.

Next, let’s look at total wins per season. Okay, this is also not a billyzane predictor – but again – just another overall success indicator. What do we care about? Wins! Bowl Games! image002.gif
In particular, look at years 2000, 2003 and 2005. In 2000, OU won the national championship and in 2005, Vince Young won. After 2000, OU sort of evens out. Championships win recruits. Texas was also on the upswing. At this point we see Texas A&M make a pretty significant dip. After 2003, the OU dip in wins coincides with a slight upswing at Texas A&M. (And yes, I realize that this relationship is perhaps affected by the fact that they are all in the Big 12 South. I’m not saying this is perfect, I’m saying it is interesting.)

And on to predictors of success, as defined by billyzane. First up, Net Rush Offense. This chart is actually a bit surprising.image003.gif
It shouldn’t be a huge shock to you that large numbers of rush yards equals success. However, I find it really interesting that in this particular subject all three tend the same. And please note the Cedric Benson/Vince Young factor in 200-2005. Also note the steeeeep drop back to reality in 2006. (A little Texas bragging — in 2004 Ced had 1800 rushing yards by himself, almost as many as Texas A&M had as an entire team.)

Next, let’s look at total offensive yards. Again, shouldn’t be a shocker that this is a big indicator of success. Yards = TDs = wins. image004.gif
Again, look at the areas of huge upswing – OU in 1998, 2001-2003, Texas in 2003-2005. Those are areas of big success for those programs. And they coincide with a big drop for someone else.

First Downs per season is also another good indicator of success. Keep in mind on all of these charts, that the year after is likely quite influenced by the year before.image006.gif

This is a nice chart to illustrate my point.
image007.gif
I couldn’t find statistics for OU in this category – so we’ll this is simplified by comparing only Texas and texas A&M. One goes up, the other comes down.

image010.gif
And total pass offense. Not as in line as the rush offense, but expected since there was a disparity in total offence. However, notice the high peaks and the low peaks.

Anyway – perhaps this doesn’t solidly reinforce my point – but I think it is food for thought. I’m working on getting some other stats as far as number of Texas players per season and working some of that up.

Any approval or dissent regarding the above, discuss in the comments.

-txhny

Posted in Big 12, game observations, meat and taters, Oklahoma, random babble, Texas, Texas A&M, txhny | 3 Comments »